Market Cycles on Mr.Yamhttps://mr.nickyam.com/tags/market-cycles/Recent content in Market Cycles on Mr.YamHugoen-usThu, 22 Oct 2026 22:10:00 +0800US Midterm Elections and the Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Coincidence, Not Causationhttps://mr.nickyam.com/Crypto/Midterm-Elections-Bitcoin-Halving-Cycle/Thu, 22 Oct 2026 22:10:00 +0800https://mr.nickyam.com/Crypto/Midterm-Elections-Bitcoin-Halving-Cycle/<p>Yesterday, Bitcoin staged a fake breakout above its 30-day moving average (around $83.5k), and today it dove straight back down to the vicinity of its 50-day moving average (around $81.8k). While browsing online, I came across a chart plotting US midterm elections against Bitcoin&rsquo;s price history [1]. The chart lays out BTC&rsquo;s price curve, marks the midterm election years, and points an arrow at the election month each time: November 2014, November 2018, November 2022. Nearly all of them land near the bottom of a cycle. This year&rsquo;s election falls on November 3 [1].</p>