JPMorgan Predicts 10% Annual Bitcoin Returns in Its First-Ever Long-Term Forecast

Eighty-two thousand dollars — that is the level Bitcoin spent the entire week probing, without ever really leaving. On Monday, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $527 million of net inflows, their best day since September 22, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone absorbing $665 million and trimming October’s net outflow to roughly $88 million [1]. Money is flowing back; the price is standing still. That same day, JPMorgan Asset Management published its 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMA). This is the 31st edition of the annual report — and the first in its history to put Bitcoin in it [2]. ...

October 21, 2026 · 6 min · Nick Yam