Supply creates demand

Overnight, Bitcoin continues to fluctuate above $29,000. The volatility index (30-day implied volatility of option prices) has further decreased, indicating exhaustion from both the bullish and bearish sides. According to reports, Bitcoin mining equipment manufacturers are shifting their focus from the saturated U.S. market to the mining market in Russia. Luxor Technologies, a mining infrastructure service provider, stated that more machines are flowing into Russia than any other place in the world. ...

July 29, 2023 · 3 min · Nick Yam

The Fed’s Swan Song

Overnight, the Federal Reserve’s July interest rate meeting released its outcome. Bitcoin remained unfazed and continued its path of recovery since July 25, experiencing a slight rebound to the $29.5k level. ...

July 26, 2023 · 3 min · Nick Yam

Bitcoin Minting Tax

Overnight, Bitcoin continues to hover above $29,000. Most likely, the Federal Reserve’s July interest rate meeting has commenced. Tomorrow, we should know the outcome, and the market is poised to make a decision. ...

July 26, 2023 · 4 min · Nick Yam

The Scarcer Ability , Asking the Right Questions

Overnight, Bitcoin experienced slight fluctuations around $30,000, while UNI steadily rose and is now close to $6. During the Sunday private board meeting, a member asked about the comparison between Uniswap (UNI) and Arbitrum (ARB). Both projects are undoubtedly of high quality, otherwise, the comparative analysis would be meaningless. ...

July 19, 2023 · 4 min · Nick Yam

Don't Do Cryptocurrency Investments Without 10 Million Dollars

Overnight, Bitcoin slightly dipped below $30,000 but quickly rebounded, currently sliding along the $30,000 mark. A discussion about the entry barrier for cryptocurrency investment has sparked a debate in the overseas crypto community. It began when a newcomer asked a prominent figure how someone with just a few thousand dollars could start investing in crypto. Should they invest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, meme coins, or altcoins that outperform Bitcoin? Is it reliable? ...

July 18, 2023 · 3 min · Nick Yam

Earning Ability is the Best Alpha

Overnight, Bitcoin remains above $30,000, maintaining its consolidation for the 25th day since June 23rd. What is the key to successful investment? Many have witnessed people abandoning beta (average returns) in pursuit of alpha (excess returns), selling Bitcoin for meme coins, only to end up not outperforming the market and suffering significant losses. While some courageous individuals may regroup and start again, others might become disheartened and exit the market. ...

July 17, 2023 · 3 min · Nick Yam

Bitcoin during the bear market

Overnight, Bitcoin continues to consolidate above the 30k level. Looking at the weekly chart, the previous day’s court ruling regarding XRP, which obtained a 2/3 non-security designation, turned out to be a mere “show of empty positivity.” It further depleted the market’s strength and brought everything back to square one, continuing the trend of slight decline. Short-term speculators have been repeatedly washed out, while long-term hodlers are unable to sell. Market liquidity is drying up, yet there is a lack of substantial catalysts for a significant change, resulting in the current awkward situation. ...

July 16, 2023 · 5 min · Nick Yam

What is value?

Overnight, BTC continues to consolidate above 30k. It’s a garbage time for traders but a golden time for hodlers. The longer it consolidates, the more fear it instills in many people. The more afraid they become, the less inclined they are to accumulate more or even consider reducing their holdings for safety. There is a superstitious saying among technical analysis enthusiasts, “Consolidation leads to a drop.” Jiao Chain doesn’t understand this saying. Drop? In which direction will it drop? If that’s the case, wouldn’t a 1/BTC candlestick chart indicate a rise after prolonged consolidation? It shows that technical analysis, if not entirely useless, is at least largely ineffective. ...

July 12, 2023 · 7 min · Nick Yam

How much BTC should you hoard?

Often, friends struggle to determine the target amount when formulating a long-term investment plan. Some friends, with lower incomes, find it difficult to imagine owning 1 BTC, which is valued at around $30,000 or over 200,000 RMB. On the other hand, friends with more wealth feel that buying a few BTC doesn’t seem satisfying enough. ...

July 7, 2023 · 6 min · Nick Yam

BlackRock CEO Praises Bitcoin

After a sudden surge to 31k, Bitcoin quickly retreated overnight, briefly dropping below 30k and currently maintaining consolidation near that level. This scene reminded Jiao Chain of our defensive counterattacks against Vietnam in the 1970s and 1980s. We would strike with full force and swiftly retreat, engaging in a decade-long border war to exhaust and defeat the enemy. This approach avoided getting deeply entrenched in a war quagmire while effectively undermining the enemy’s arrogance. By strategically retreating, occupying advantageous positions, and engaging in attritional warfare, we achieved our strategic objectives at minimal cost. ...

July 7, 2023 · 5 min · Nick Yam